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Chapter 4: Understanding Contemporary Conflict

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Chapter Description:
This chapter has outlined a framework for the analysis of contemporary conflict that draws on Edward Azar’s account of protracted social conflict, and then updates it via a ‘levels of analysis’ approach at international, state and sub-state levels. This framework is not a theory of conflict, but a model for locating the chief sources of contemporary conflict. The possibility of a revival of interstate war is by no means ruled out, but more unruly multilevel conflict seems likely to remain the predominant pattern for the immediate future.

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